2001 Hurricane Predictions

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  1. Schmoopy
  2. DocDonald
  3. Schmoopy
  4. DocDonald
  5. Schmoopy
  6. jerrib
  7. Mountain_lady
  8. Schmoopy
  9. QuarterRat
  10. Schmoopy

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Top 2.   Apr 9, 2001 7:10 AM

» Schmoopy - Re: Media induced hurricane panic!

In response to message posted by DocDonald:


I agree that the media can sometimes get out of control, but they have quite a job! On one hand they're expected to report responsibly and on the other hand, they have to warn people by giving them enough time to evacuate.

Hurricane prediction is extremely difficult! The science is too imperfect at this point for forecasters to narrow it down to a very specific area. That means the forecast can change quickly, so meteorologists have to report frequently - especially when a tropical cyclone is about to make landfall. After all, not everyone is watching constantly, so all that repetition serves to warn those just tuning in.

-- posted by Schmoopy



Top 3.   Apr 9, 2001 11:29 AM

» DocDonald - Re: Re: Media induced hurricane panic!

In response to message posted by amy_marquis:

I agree that they have a responsibility but they do not report in a responsible manner. They foment & drive messages of panic & fear to the public instead of simply reporting the facts. As a Florida native who has lived through a number of hurricanes in my life time I know what needs to be told, what needs to be re-told, & what needs to be left out of their reporting. Responsibility is a 2-edged sword and they are only riding on one edge!

-- posted by DocDonald



Top 4.   Apr 9, 2001 1:56 PM

» Schmoopy - Re: Re: Re: Media induced hurricane panic!

In response to message posted by DocDonald:

I too am a native of hurricane country (New Orleans), so I can identify with your exasperation. It might interest you to know that studies have been done on people's response times to the warnings. They have found it takes many repetitions to get a person to realize evacuation is necessary and even more for that same person to actually take action.

By the way, this debate is kinda fun smile

-- posted by Schmoopy



Top 5.   Apr 10, 2001 5:53 AM

» DocDonald - Re: Re: Re: Re: Media induced hurricane panic!

In response to message posted by amy_marquis:

I used to work in emergency rooms and now work in public health! I know all too well what happens & why! My take on this is if the "public safety" officials/officers cannot get the dumb folk to evac then let them suffer the consequences...! John D. MacDonald said it best with his book, Condominium,, when he described the events before, during & after a hurricane on the mid-Florida Gulfcoast. It should be required reading for ALL immigrants to the state of Florida as well as all high school students in the state! smile

-- posted by DocDonald



Top 6.   Apr 10, 2001 7:04 AM

» Schmoopy - Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Media induced hurricane panic!

In response to message posted by DocDonald:

I totally agree! If we could educate the public, we wouldn't have to hear quite so many annoying warnings from the media!

-- posted by Schmoopy



Top 7.   Apr 16, 2001 10:42 AM

» jerrib - Enjoyed this discussion

I'm just glad I don't live in Hurricane country. By the way, I've subscribed, Amy. Forgot to earlier.

-- posted by jerrib



Top 8.   Apr 16, 2001 1:51 PM

» Mountain_lady - Weather

Hi Amy, I'm sure glad I don't live in the hurricane areas but I do in tornado alley. I don't know which would be the worse.

-- posted by Mountain_lady



Top 9.   Apr 17, 2001 7:40 AM

» Schmoopy - Re: Weather

In response to message posted by Mountain_lady:

Both tornadoes and hurricanes can be deadly - it just depends on their intensity. Staying safe in these situations is easier if you know what to do. Check out The Truth About Tornadoes.

It's always interesting to read personal accounts of weather-related events - take a look at Carol Wallace's Garden Variety Tornado!

-- posted by Schmoopy



Top 10.   Jun 11, 2001 1:11 PM

» QuarterRat - 2001 Forecast Update

Hi Amy,

Did you notice right after Allison formed that Dr Gray has again upgraded his forecast...

I think it is going to be an above normal season...

Nice Job...

-- posted by QuarterRat



Top 11.   Jun 12, 2001 4:53 AM

» Schmoopy - Re: 2001 Forecast Update

In response to message posted by QuarterRat:
Dr. Gray's job is a toughie. I wouldn't want it! Read this update on his predictions from last year...

-- posted by Schmoopy



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