Market Indicators - Investor Sentiment: February 11, 2006 Sentiment

» SteveT - February 11, 2006 Sentiment

I am using the VTO report for the II data. http://vtoreport.com/sentiment/sentiment...
Note for clarification historic sentiment tables are for that current week and not the four-week moving average.

Investors Intelligence Bulls 51.6% Bears 25.3% Correction 23.1%
51.6/(51.6 +25.3) = 67.1%
Four Week Average = 68.43%

A few historic dates: 7-20-98 68.42% 10-12-98 47.41% 4-3-00 67.79% 1-1-01 64.10% 4-4-01 58.91% 9-17-01 52.0% 9-21-01 48.7% 7-19-02 47.2% 7-23-02 47.2% 10-9-02 50.0%

Sideline Money Bears + Correction = 48.4%
Four Week Average = 46.2%


hairie has researched some fascinating numbers for all time high bulls readings going back to 1965. http://www.suite101.com/discussion.cfm/i...
and lows from 1965-2003 http://www.suite101.com/discussion.cfm/i...

From Barron' s 2/13/05
The American Association of Individual Investors
Bulls 40.2% Bears 34.6% Neutral 25.2%
40.2/(40.2+34.6) = 53.74%
Four Week Average = 56.59%

Historic dates for comparison:
7-16-98    44.3%        S&P 500 Close 1186.75
10-12-98   36.76%       S&P 500 Close  984.39
4-3-00     77.78%       S&P 500 Close 1505.97
1-1-01     58.82%       S&P 500 Close 1320.28
4-4-01     51.35%       S&P 500 Close 1103.25
9-10-01    47.34%       S&P 500 Close 1085.78
9-17-01    42.11%       S&P 500 Close 1038.77
9-21-01    41.08%       S&P 500 Close  965.80
7-19-02    32.88%       S&P 500 Close  847.75
7-23-02    32.88%       S&P 500 Close  797.70
10-9-02    42.36%       S&P 500 Close  776.76

As of February 10, 2006 close
The CBOE Put/Call ratio 10 day moving average is at .85. http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.we... The VIX Market Volatility Index closed Friday at 12.87. http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=%5evix&d=t

-- posted by SteveT