Robert Drach - Nightly Business Report Market Monitor

Top 35. Sep 23, 2003 6:53 AM

» axolotl - Re: Re: Drach update: 83% cash 17% equities

Drach or some guru should have picked some utility stocks a few years ago - some are up100% and you get a nice dividend. Recent Barrons mag has comment by someone that JNPR Juniper systems is wildly overvpriced - meaning good short?

-- posted by axolotl

Top 36. Dec 28, 2003 2:01 PM

» RSREXX1 - Re: Re: Drach update: 83% cash 17% equities

In response to message posted by Q_out:
Sorry Q but your wrong. Now he's up to 87% cash

-- posted by RSREXX1

Top 37. Dec 28, 2003 2:21 PM

» allancoleman - Re: Re: Re: Drach update: 83% cash 17% equities

In response to message posted by RSREXX1:

RSREXX1 ,

you got a good web site for Drach's stuff ? ? most of the links on this forum seen to be articles from other sources .

-- posted by allancoleman

Top 38. Dec 28, 2003 3:16 PM

» Q_out - Re: Drach update

In response to message posted by allancoleman:

Current Stock vs. Cash Allocation

$ 1,383,710.46 (79%) stock. $ 373,002.34 (21%) cash equivalents.
http://nbr.com/drach/drach.html

Latest Sells
Cardinal Health 12-1-03
Emerson Electric 12-5-03
Teleflex 12-23-03

Latest Buys
Dollar General 12-5-03
Family Dollar 12-12-03
Family Dollar 12-19-03
http://nbr.com/drach/drach2.html

<img src="/files/mysites/qout/bhoestarts.gif" width=53 height=34 align="left">
Q_out
DISCLAIMER: My words and observations are general in nature, and are not meant as specific investment advice. Individuals should consult with their own advisors for specific investment advice.

-- posted by Q_out

Top 39. Dec 28, 2003 4:35 PM

» allancoleman - Re: Re: Drach update

In response to message posted by Q_out:

Q_out ,

appreciate your digging that out for me . smile . i'll add it to my favorites sites .

-- posted by allancoleman

Top 40. Feb 5, 2004 6:25 AM

» RSREXX1 - Re: Re: Re: Re: Drach update: 83% cash 17% equities

In response to message posted by allancoleman:

I receive Drach's newsletter

-- posted by RSREXX1

Top 41. Feb 21, 2004 7:30 PM

» Skeptic999 - So why does Drach annualize his newsletter returns?

I am still curious to know why Drach annualizes his newsletter's return, since he isn't putting his model's capital to high-return use when it isn't in the market (and it is in the market rarely). Any help appreciated

-- posted by Skeptic999

Top 42. May 26, 2004 7:55 PM

» Kirk - Drach 100% Equities

.
I notice Robert Drach is now 100% in equities
http://www.nbr.com/drach/drach2.html

I don't see where he reports dividends and interest from the cash in his portfolio....

Even if you don’t market time or buy individual stocks, my newsletter offers quite a bit of useful information and tables (Discussion of interest rates, The Fed Model, etc.) that many say are worth the price of the subscription on its own.

As of 10/28/04, the Total Return for Kirk's Newsletter since 12/31/98 is 146%. Here are some more periods and comparative benchmarks:

 
              Kirk   S&P500  NASDAQ 
12/31/2002    +60%    +32%    +48%
12/31/2000    +28%    -10%    -20%
12/31/1998   +146%     -1%    -10%

-- posted by Kirk

Top 43. Jan 6, 2006 7:21 PM

» Kirk - 2005 Results for "Basic Timing" Model Portfolio

.
They gave the 2005 results on NBR tonight. The return they gave for the S&P500 did not include dividends, which I have added to the table they presented on TV.


S&P500                        +3.0%
S&P500 with dividends         +4.8% 
NBR/Drach Model               +1.4% 
Nasdaq Composite              +1.4%
Dow Industrials               -0.6% 
Kirk's Newsletter Portfolio  +13.2%

I was surprised that Robert Drach had a "not so good year" which proves even the best don't out perform every year. That is why you need to look at the long term record.

Longer term, the NBR/Drach model portfolio is much better with over 100 points over the NASDAQ composite:

Relative performance since portfolio initiation (5/5/95)

 
NBR/Drach Model       + 275% 
Nasdaq Composite      + 168%
Dow Industrial        + 150%
S&P 500               + 144%

NBR/Drach Model Current Stock vs. Cash Allocation
$ 1,787,350.60 (91%) stock. $174,996.54(9%) cash equivalents.

For 2005, "Kirk's Newsletter Portfolio" was Up 13.2% vs. QQQQ up 1.2% vs. DJIA down 0.6% vs. S&P500 Up 4.8%

As of 12/31/05 the Total Return for "Kirk's Newsletter Portfolio" since 12/31/98 is Up 197% while the S&P500 only up 12%!!! & NASDAQ only up 1%!!! (my portfolio beta is roughly equal to that of QQQQ.)

What should be quite clear is a “buy and forget” market strategy using the DOW, S&P500 or NASDAQ would have under performed holding money funds over the past seven years while my newsletter portfolio nearly tripled every dollar invested

-- posted by Kirk