Bob Brinker Free Discussion Site 59,820+
- jamesj24
- Moe_Berg
- bobcat66
- allancoleman
- oldtown4
- oldtown4
- Marteau89
- apharris
- F111Star
- Jeremy77
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» jamesj24 - Re: Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold
In response to Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold posted by Kirk:You make some excellent points. Most of the callers lately contribute nothing of interest to me. And how many times can a person stand to hear him bad mouth employers' paying health benefits? He obviously says that since he apparently has to pay for his own and is jealous of employers' coverage that he doesn't get. The true traders do seem to have given up on him following the QQQQ fiasco. That's when I lost faith. And he never gives any advice until after the fact, then it is as if he's rubbing it in the noses of those who didn't subscribe or follow his advice.
I think his having guests is one of the best things to happen to his show in a long while.
If you think about it, even his call in Jan 2000 was not exactly well-timed. It took a full 8 months for the market to actually reach a new high in August before it tail spun into the bear market. During that time period, I made significant money short selling calls on the SP500, as the market sold off and repeatedly regained, only to sell off again.
In 2000, I did follow Bob's advice and sold my equity investments in tax deferred accounts, so I have give him credit for that. I didn't sell in my taxable accounts, afraid of the huge tax hit I would have had. Then I followed his advice on QQQ and got burned. Consequently, I didn't follow his advice to buy in March 2003. Apparently he can predict the SP500 but not the QQQ.
-- posted by jamesj24
» Moe_Berg - Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold/Jamesj24
In response to Re: Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold posted by jamesj24:I think most of your comments are spot on, James.
But I disagree with your downplaying of Bob's January 2000 call. From my vantage point, those who raised cash back then would have to be happy campers. The more cash they raised, the more happy they had to be. His call was close enough to the market's highs. It was his short term QQQ speculations after January 2000 that caused him to loose credibiliity in my mind too.
As for his radio show, I like the guest appearances and the occasional Kudlow substitutions. It means less of Bob's irritating Monday morning quarterback opinions and leftist George McGovernesque political opinions while he pretends to be an independant. Lately, Bob is into calling former company executives incompetant if they signed what now appear to be over generous union contracts for retirement benefit programs. I wonder if Bob will feel that way about his contract is Disney-ABC falls on hard times like GM and United Airlines. Maybe his successor will rail on national radio about how Incompetant Disney-AC agreed to pay Bob way over what he's worth.
I don't listen often, but when I do listen and hear Bob's irritating second guessing and immature political views, I change the station. Take Bob's demogoging about the US budget deficit while he pretends there is no expensive war on terror and no uncontrollable high oil prices. This is immature superficial analysis and transparently biased. Thus, Bob gets very little ear time from me these days. Then again, I don't watch or listen to many financial programs now that I'm retired and living the good life thanks to Bob's great calls and fund recommendations during the 1990's. Luckily, the chunk I gave back due to Bob's QQQ folly was not so large as to ruin my retirement.
Long-term accountability is a real challenge. Most retired company executives get off the hook for their bad decisions. Politicians and their political appointees also almost always get off scott free for their bad decisions. The thing is, how do you get a political consensus to enact a law to do something about this sorry situation. But look elsewhere around the world. Is there anyplace else you would choose to live?
Hay James, you really got me going. Now there's smoke coming out of my PC keyboard. I'm going to get the fire extinguisher!
c u
-- posted by Moe_Berg
» allancoleman - Re: Energy Stocks
In response to Energy Stocks posted by bobcat66:
the guest's long term view on oil wasn't good . reserves will run out for most oil companies by 2010 / 2012 ( only 5 / 6 years away ) . even the reserves of some countries doesn't look good .
outlook is oil , even with new exploration and production , except for short term prices being occasionly down , prices to trend higher .
when you factor in increasing demand for us , who already use more than our share of the world's oil , along with increasing demand and useage by India , China , etc ; you can probably make money short term on oil stocks , but , as for a " buy and hold " strategy for decades , it's questionable . in other words , don't buy oil stocks for your kids education expenses .
for a guy that still occassionaly drinks too much wine , the discussion was " sobering " . 
.
-- posted by allancoleman
» oldtown4 - Re: Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold
In response to Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold posted by Kirk:According to Talkers magazine, Bobbies ratings are up from 1.25 million several years back up to 1.75.
It sure is fun to think back to those swingin from the rafters days in the 90's...now up to the current book selling/guest format. Altho the GM comments about the "incompetents" was fabu and also the poor lady who made the mistake of calling in and saying they gave up wages, for healthcare benefits. He "killed" her...he can sure drive a spike.
After all is said and done, I have high regard for his knowledge.
17. Dave Ramsey (t) 2 million
17. Jim Rome (t) 2 million
21. Bob Brinker (t) 1.75 million
21. G. Gordon Liddy (t) 1.75 million
23. Jerry Doyle (t) 1.5 million
-- posted by oldtown4
» oldtown4 - Re: Re: Re: Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold
In response to Re: Re: Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold posted by Kirk:Here is the full list Kirk. Bob used to mention his "5 million listeners" weekly, but you dont hear that anymore! Or at least that is my recollection of the number he used, correct me if wrong.
As a side note, there was a respected guy on the tube projecting S-P 1325 so he is in the ballpark with Bobbie. For those interested in researching newsletters, MarketWatch.com is giving free access to Hulbert today....eye opening stats for certain letters.
2005 Talkers Magazine Talk Host Survey
1. Rush Limbaugh 14.75 million
2. Sean Hannity 13 million
3. Michael Savage(t) 8.75 million
3. Howard Stern (t) 8.75 million
5. Dr. Laura Schlessinger 7.50 million
6. Laura Ingraham 5 million
7. Jim Bohannon 3.75 million
8. Neal Boortz (t) 3.5 million
8. Mike Gallagher (t) 3.5 million
10. Clark Howard 3.25 million
11. Glen Beck (t) 3 million
11. Don Imus (t) 3 million
11. Bill O'Reilly (t) 3 million
11. Doug Stephan (t) 3 million
15. Dr. Joy Browne (t) 2.75 million
15. George Noory (t) 2.75 million
17. Kim Kommando (t) 2 million
17. Michael Medved (t) 2 million
17. Dave Ramsey (t) 2 million
17. Jim Rome (t) 2 million
21. Bob Brinker (t) 1.75 million
21. G. Gordon Liddy (t) 1.75 million
23. Jerry Doyle (t) 1.5 million
23. Tom Leykis (t) 1.5 million
25. Bill Bennett 1.25 million
26. Jim Cramer (t) 1 million
26. Dr. Dean Edell (t) 1 million
26. Phil Hendrie (t) 1 million
26. Rusty Humphries (t) 1 million
26. Tony Snow (t) 1 million
-- posted by oldtown4
» Marteau89 - Where is Hugh Hewitt?
Hard to believe that M. Savage has so many listeners. Kind of scary, actually. I am glad that a class act like Laura Ingraham has a good audience. But, I wonder where a popular fellow like Hugh Hewitt ranks? He is known as sort of a "father of the blogs" and may be more popular to an internet audience.-- posted by Marteau89
» apharris - Cramer
I read "Trading With The Enemy" a book written by one of Cramer's former employees, highly recommended.....you will never look at Cramer quite the same. More on Cramer on my Blog, in the archives: http://allallan.blogspot.com/A
-- posted by apharris
» F111Star - Re: Where is Hugh Hewitt?
In response to Where is Hugh Hewitt? posted by Marteau89:What exactly do you find frightening about Michael Savage?
-- posted by F111Star
» Jeremy77 - Re: Re: Bernstein and buy-and-hold/Jamesj24
I'm guessing Brinker has enough $ if he never worked another day in his life. I've been retired since age 51, due in large part to Brinker's marketiming.( Active/Passive portfolio )( I know he's worth alot more than me. How much do you think he nets from his newsletter ea. year alone?) I luckily didn't follow his short time QQQ advice, however. If the Nasdaq 100 had gone up, I was going to take more $ off the table.( Thinking of putting small amt. into Coach Inc. (COH ) Anyone else like?
-- posted by Jeremy77
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