Bob Brinker Free Discussion Site 59,820+

Top 151. Mar 21, 2005 6:21 AM

» JIMMY62 - The present Bob

Still, the man has helped many. My goal here is to make sure people don’t’ get overconfident following him by making sure the past is not forgotten or hidden by brilliant marketing.
I think he gives good advice and teaches many how to be armed to defend themselves from shark attacks.
This posting and those in response to DavidK’s report on Bob’s public appearance are right on target.

I agree that what is described as a sell call in early 2000 not quite that. Actually taking a hedged position, this in itself was dramatic at the time. I do not quibble much about how that call is described now, as it is just too complicated to explain quickly.

I am glad to hear publicly that Bob admits to being irrationally exuberant about his skills five years ago and says he will not

Listening to Bob for a while Sunday, I thought he gave good advice; not exactly to the callers who bring up the topic, but to any who might be about to make similar moves.

I agree that those who call about stock and bond investing now are mostly 50:50 types. Bob’s advice is well tailored for them.

Subscribing to the MARKETIMER newsletter, I still think is silly if you want to know about Bob’s market turn calls, as all the good calls have been broadcast on THE PROGRAM.

-- posted by JIMMY62

Top 152. Mar 21, 2005 6:23 AM

» JIMMY62 - Re: Re: Re: "Are you a groupie?" "I am" she replied.

In response to Re: Re: "Are you a groupie?" "I am" she replied. posted by Kirk:

-- posted by JIMMY62

Top 153. Mar 23, 2005 8:12 AM

» allancoleman - Re: Vanguard GNMA Fund Chart

In response to Vanguard GNMA Fund Chart posted by Kirk:

Admiral class shares ( VFIJX ) are yielding 4.78% and they are cheaper ( 0.13% ) and only $250k required .

the Investor class shares have returned 4.13% over one year . 5.39% over three years . 7.04% over five years . 7.42% over 10 years . and 8.95% since inception .

-- posted by allancoleman

Top 154. Mar 25, 2005 9:46 AM

» permabear - Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices

In response to Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices posted by Kirk:

Just an immediate reaction to the discussion of owning bond funds. Personally I own some international bond funds (for the dollar bet and attractive yield) and some floating rate funds (which aren't detrimentally hit by interest rate rises), but I have purposefully avoided buying domestic bond funds, especially in the current interest rate environment. Sure it would have been very lucrative to buy the GNMA fund back in 2000 when Bob Brinker really started pushing these funds. With the huge fall in interest rates in the past several years, these have been great investments. But to buy these funds in the past year, you are looking at huge potential losses on your principal as interest rates rise, makes no sense. Much better to either buy a ladder of CDs or individual bonds. While you will lose principal on individual bonds if interest rates rise, as long as they don't default and you hold them for the life of their terms, you are assured of not losing money. Thus when I here experts pushing domestic bond funds these days, I think they are giving bad investment advice.

-- posted by permabear

What Rising Interest Rates Can Mean For Your Portfolio

Top 155. Mar 25, 2005 11:57 AM

» bob90245 - Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices

In response to Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices posted by permabear:

Vanguard has a good article on bond funds with rising rates.

A picture is worth a thousand words.

-- posted by bob90245

Top 156. Mar 25, 2005 12:48 PM

» oldtown4 - Re: Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices

In response to Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices posted by Kirk:

Jame Rohrbach was featured this week on CBS MarketWatch, as everyone on here probably already knows. He just sent me yet another promo email, telling me how great his timing system is. Sure......maybe so.

Does anyone have experience with his system? If you look at his record it looks good, but he only provides the last 3-4 years.....so of course it looks great. Thanks to anyone who can shed some light.

btw I have tried Sy's newsletter and have been very dissapointed. I did nothing but lose money starting in 2003 when he went bearish. The Seasonal System seems to work ok-except in 03 when he went only 25%-but otherwise his picks seem to fail. Yes that is my biased opinion, but you would be careful imo

I also appreciate the advice on bonds, my current advisor (LOL) says bonds are a buy and is thinking about potentially buying zeros, of which I have no understanding.

-- posted by oldtown4

http://www.libsci.sc.edu/bob/class/clis7...

Top 157. Mar 25, 2005 12:56 PM

» Normxxx - Re: Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices

In response to Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices posted by Kirk:

Technically, the Government can default on GNMAs (but I doubt they ever will). The GNMA corp. is a regular corp. that is wholly owned by the Government. It is an arrangement that has been used for other purposes-- the U.S. Postal Service is now such and the U.S. Panama Canal Zone Authority Corp. used to be such.

-- posted by Normxxx

Top 158. Mar 25, 2005 1:10 PM

» Normxxx - Re: Re: Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices

In response to Re: Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices posted by oldtown4:

That has been my observation as well. But you must admit, unlike most letter writers, he is perfectly frank about how poorly his non-STS recommendations have been (except for gold, where he has done very well). In fact, he no longer recommends stocks; he now only rates sectors as buy, sell, and sell short or cover. This is helpful for ETF trading, but even in a bear market, few people really do well trading stocks. The problem is, that like Paul Merriman, his timing technique is largely trend following-- and you can get whipsawed to death in a market such as we've seen in the last year or so, which is typical of a secular bear.

-- posted by Normxxx

Top 159. Mar 25, 2005 1:17 PM

» oldtown4 - Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices

In response to Re: Re: Re: Re: Terry Savage: Avoid ripoffs on bond prices posted by Normxxx:

I do admit he is perfectly frank. In fact I really like his honesty and that is why I subscribed in the first place.

I lost a lot of money during the bull market since 03 following his non STS shorts and various other strategies....it really hurt.....all the while Bobbie was yelling "buy"!!!!!

-- posted by oldtown4