Bob Brinker Free Discussion Site 59,820+
- Tiger62
- jamesj24
- Normxxx
- alphacd
- allancoleman
- pete2214
- allancoleman
- Kirk
- pbradford6
- allancoleman
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» Tiger62 - Terry Savage
Initially I was not impressed with her either, however she has amazing guests, and always brings in practical timely information. When she subbed for Bob in November and December, she bought in people to talk about the prescription plan. Her guest on IRA's was amazing, as was the interview with James Dines. The more I hear of her the better I like her, she is very pragmatic. As for the reverse mortgae, better to keep parent's affairs and your personal affairs seperate.I have the Moneytalk on Demand, as I am convinced our local station is trying to sabatoge Bob (and has been for some years), and finally remove him from their line up by saying his numbers are down. Since this is a New York station, I'm pretty sure it is intentional. They want something new. They have changed his times i.e. 8PM - 11PM (ridiculous), shorten his times (cut off the last hour), pre-empt him regularly, I no longer even make plans to listen on the radio, but the Money talk on demand is nice because you also do not get the commercials, and if you miss something you can re-play it. For those who really want to they can make downloads for ipods and such (but this takes lots of space).
Barbara
-- posted by Tiger62
» jamesj24 - Bulls over Bulls Plus Bears - Free Chart
In response to Bulls over Bulls Plus Bears - Free Chart posted by Kirk:The spikes down in sentiment are what I think matter. What was really interesting to me is how they walked a rising support line.
Notice, though that the peaks of the sentiment line have also been consistently declining since the recovery of the stock market in mid-2003.
If one draws a line connecting the downward-sloping peaks with the upward sloping nadirs, the point of intersection might be where people believe the market will reach the peak of its recovery before slipping back into recession. I haven't done this exercise, so don't know where that point lies in the future.
With an inverted yield curve, and it is indeed inverted, not flat as Bernake, and now the media is alleging, a recession is inevitable.
But, then again, you probably will not want to trust my opinion, since I have missed most of this recent rise in stock values by following my bearish outlook.
-- posted by jamesj24
» Normxxx - Bulls over Bulls Plus Bears - Free Chart
In response to Bulls over Bulls Plus Bears - Free Chart posted by jamesj24:With an inverted yield curve, and it is indeed inverted, not flat as Bernake, and now the media is alleging, a recession is inevitable.
I believe the yield on the 3-month bills is still a few basis points below the yield on the 30-year bonds!
(But, hey, this time it's different anyway; Greenspan and Bernanke said so.)
-- posted by Normxxx
» alphacd - Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish
When Bob is very bullish he usually finds many ways of saying it in his broadcasts. Lately however he seems to give little hint as to where he sees things going (although I must confess to not listening all the time).Any thoughts on this matter?
-- posted by alphacd
» allancoleman - Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish
In response to Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish posted by alphacd:hello alphacd ,
in your confession that you don't listen all the time is probably your answer . 
. i listen to bob brinker every chance i get either on the radio or online and when he discusses the market , he has always been bullish . i also subscribe to his newsletter and he is also very bullish there too and has lately raised his expected top from " the mid 1300's range , and the door remains open to the possibility that a higher price target may develop going forward . " so i'd say bob brinker is still very bullish no matter weither you hear it or not . course bob can change his mind at any time depending on his model indicators . and i personally feel bob is too bullish and because of that may miss the next sell signal . just my opinion of course .
-- posted by allancoleman
» allancoleman - Philantropy not me??
In response to Philantropy not me?? posted by pete2214:bob does bring in quite a bit of money in donations in his ' benefit ' paid performances he holds regularily . usually in California hosted by KGO , a radio station out of San Francisco .
but as regards the rest of bob's fortune , with his heirs , he probably already has plans for that . as for Vegas , i have friends who gamble there regularily and they call those , " deposits " .
-- posted by allancoleman
» Kirk - Inverted Yield Curve?
In response to Bulls over Bulls Plus Bears - Free Chart posted by Normxxx:jamesj24: With an inverted yield curve, and it is indeed inverted, not flat as Bernake, and now the media is alleging, a recession is inevitable.
Normxxx: I believe the yield on the 3-month bills is still a few basis points below the yield on the 30-year bonds! (But, hey, this time it's different anyway; Greenspan and Bernanke said so.)
This is what Bloomberg is showing:
<img width=490 height=250 src=http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/chart?ty...>
3-Month 4.54%
6-Month 4.68%
2-Year 4.67%
3-Year 4.64%
5-Year 4.56%
10-Year 4.55%
30-Year 4.52%
If I had to guess, I’d say the Bond market is expecting short term rates to go higher in the short term then go lower when the Fed stops raising rates after they figure out it was too late and the economy is slowing.
The trouble is the bond market is not any better and perhaps worse than predicting the economy than the stock market. If you went by the stock market, back in March of 2000 it was saying the next few years would be wonderful and we all know that didn’t turn out to be true!
FWIW, there is an article at the Federal Reserve that says a 0.5% inversion of the yield curve is something like a 25% chance of a recession... project that back to what we have now and the odds are quite low, still, that we go into recession. Slower growth is a given, but a recession is still low in the probability distribution.
-- posted by Kirk
» pbradford6 - Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish
In response to Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish posted by allancoleman:i also subscribe to his newsletter and he is also very bullish there too and has lately raised his expected top from " the mid 1300's range , and the door remains open to the possibility that a higher price target may develop going forward .
Allan, to what other investment letters if any do you subscribe?
Thanks,
-- posted by pbradford6
» allancoleman - Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish
In response to Has anyone noticed that Bob is becoming less bullish posted by pbradford6:AAII six at : http://www.aaii.com . i have their lifetime membership and feel it's been more than a bargin . with the 20 or more years i have left as an investor , it'll more than pay for itself . as bob brinker would say , " it's a no brainer " .
-- posted by allancoleman
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