2002 Awards - Jumping to Conclusions (Conclusion)
© Steven M. Alper
Aug 27, 2002
As we did LAST
ARTICLE, again referring back to the
Great-Big Summary Chart of the Major Awards of the 2001-2002 Season,
we attempt to draw conclusions -- some rather pointless, some
not. All conclusions are based on this year's awards and do not
pretend to be predictions of future results. This news release
contains forward looking statements that are subject to risks
and uncertainties, including timely product development, as well
as the other risks detailed from time to time in the Company's
SEC reports, including the report on Form 10-K and most recent
Form 10-Qs. Oh, and I know |<--this much->| about statistics. An Organizational Chart
- As we noted last year, the Drama Desk still likes
things no one else likes (Elaine Stritch: At Liberty,
plus nineteen nominated shows that appear on no other major list).
- The Drama League (at 5 noms) and the Outer Critics Circle
(The Dazzle's one win and 3 other noms) like things
even the Drama Desk doesn't, although to be fair we point out
that the awards they did give were to shows that were also successful
on another list.
Organizational Ranking by Generousity Level
- The New York Drama Critics Circle only reveals winners: this
year only 1 award/1 nominee. Percentage of nominees receiving
awards: 100%. Chances of a (revealed) nominee winning an award:
100%.
- The Outer Critics Circle: 20 awards/79 nominees. Percentage
of nominees receiving awards: 25.3% (down from 27.5% last year).
Chances of a single nominee winning an award: 1.3% (unchanged).
- The Tony's: 21 awards/90 nominees. Percentage of nominees
receiving awards: 23.3% (up from 22.9%). Chances of a single
nominee winning an award: 1.1% (unchanged).
- The Drama Desk: 25 awards/126 nominees. Percentage of nominees
receiving awards: 19.8% (up from 17.5%, but way below 2000's
26%). Chances of a single nominee winning an award: 0.8% (up
from 0.7%).
- The Drama League: 3 awards/21 nominees. Percentage of nominees
receiving awards: 14.3% (way down from 23.8%). Chances of a single
nominee winning an award: 4.8% (unchanged).
So, as with last year, not including the NY Drama Critics
Circle for which we only get to hear about the winners, if you
were nominated for a Drama League you were more likely to win
than if you were nominated for an Outer Critics Circle, in which
you were more likely to win than if nominated for a Tony, in
which you were more likely to win than if nominated for a Drama
Desk.
- In total there were 70 awards given to 317 nominees. Percentage
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