RULE TWO: HORSES FOR COURSES A simple rule my Dad taught me during frequent trips to the harness races in Chicago. Some tracks just suit a different drivers style or ability. I like to go back to the last 5 races at the track the race is being run and apply the same point formula as I explained in rule one. If a driver is involved that has had less than five races at a track I average his results as if he has had five races there. In the case of a rookie who has never run at a track we lack the stats to adequately analyze his prospects.
I usually add the two point totals together to get a consensus TOP TEN. This will average out a drivers current past performances with his ability on the particular track coming up. With a consensus TOP TEN in front of me, I then apply a few subjective rules to arrive at my top picks for the week.
RULE THREE: EQUIPMENT CHANGE This is another rule that is a result of my horse race handicapping background. (Thanks Dad) In horse racing, a trainer of a skittish horse might add BLINKERS or a SHADOW ROLL to help improve his performance. In stock car racing simple things like a change of teams or perhaps an improvement in the motor department might show us a sleeper. Likewise, a negative change might drop someone out of contention for my TOP FIVE. I
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