Well, thanks a lot, SAG Awards! Not!


© Nicholas Moreau

This time last week, I was still struggling with some of my predictions in the acting categories. But I was looking forward to the SAG awards to help clear things up ... well, this week, I am still as confused as ever on who will ultimately walk away with Oscar in three of the acting categories, as the SAGs did not even help in most ways. What a surprise in a couple of their choices, but more on that later ... I have ultimately made my final predictions, and as promised at the end of this week's article, I will reveal my predictions in the acting and directing categories.

First up, let's look at the big precursors from last weekend ... on Saturday night, the Director's Guild announced their choice for the Best Director of the Year 2000, and since their choice has ended up winning the Oscar in all but four times in the DGA's history, I think it's safe to say that the Best Director winner will be the same.

DIRECTOR'S GUILD OF AMERICA WINNER
Ang Lee for Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon

So once again, Soderbergh's double nominations at the DGA awards apparently were enough honor, and the split vote may have happened (a number of people have been coming out recently debunking the theory of the split vote) ... but nevertheless, it looks more probable that Ang Lee will go on to win Oscar's prize for Best Director, so the possibility is existing that Gladiator, if it wins Best Picture, may be one of the few films in history to win that top honor without winning a directing and a writing Oscar. Unless the Academy ends up really loving the film and sweeps in Ridley Scott, I think we'll see a repeat of what happened at the DGA awards. I just wish Soderbergh had only promoted for his direction of Traffic, he so clearly deserves to win Best Director for that film this year.

Ok, now onto the bizarre confusion of the Screen Actors Guild awards. First, a recap of the main film winners:

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARD WINNERS

For Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role: Benicio Del Toro in TRAFFIC

For Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role: Julia Roberts in ERIN BROCKOVICH

For Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role: Albert Finney in ERIN BROCKOVICH

For Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role: Judi Dench in CHOCOLAT

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